Are you ready for a nasty winter in the Eastern U.S.? The statistics and climate index similarities
suggest the 2013-2014 winter will be similar to 1962-1963 which brought the 6th
coldest January in over 118 years and copious amounts of snowfall. The factors considered were a proprietary
statistical forecasting technique, Atlantic Accumulated Cyclone Energy index,
ENSO neutral phase, 30-year cold intensifying Pacific Decadal Oscillation Cycle
and a very weak 100 year solar cycle which all point to a winter similar to
1962-1963. Based on that mix of leading indications,
we’ve outlined our TOP 10 facts and predictions for the upcoming winter:
Nor’easters will be much
more frequent this year bringing the snowiest winter in 3 years with 35% more
snow than last year and much above average.
(see national snowfall trends map).
Temperatures across the
Eastern half of the country will trend 3-6 degrees colder than last winter
making it the coldest winter in 3 years with below average temperatures. (see national winter temperature map).
Major widespread cold
snaps are likely in middle December, middle January and early February.
The West will trend the
warmest in 4 to 8 years but snow and rain still likely to make headline news in
the Pacific Northwest with twice as much snow as last year.
Parts of California are
likely to have the wettest conditions in 9 years bringing the threat for at
least one major flooding/mud slide event this winter.
Southwest may escape
winter’s wrath with the warmest conditions in 8 years and 31% below average
A drought may begin to
develop in the Southeast by late winter.
Major freeze possible in
Florida late January and early February.
merchandise sales will experience the best winter in 3 years with sales up 20%
to 100% in the Eastern half of the U.S. with snow accessories up 250% or
more. However, overall retail sales and
store traffic will be severely hampered.
10. Home heating bills will be up 15% to 30% in the East but down as
much in the West further eating into consumers’ discretionary spending going
About Weather Trends International
The global leader of actionable year-ahead business weather
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solutions and understanding of how consumers respond to the weather is used
throughout organizations to help "manage the weather risk”.
Utilizing technology first developed in the early 1990s, Weather Trends
International’s unique statistical math-based trade secret formula forecasting
methodology projects temperature, precipitation and snowfall trends by day and
week a year-ahead for 6.4 million locations in all 195 countries with industry
leading 85%+ accuracy. WTI is recipient of 12 business and technology
awards including #5 on Forbes Magazine’s list as America’s Most Promising
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AR. Visit www.wxtrends.com
or www.wt360.com for more information.