It is a good thing that most meteorologists have two eyes in their head as we will need both of them to track two tropical weather disturbances.
Tropical Storm Katia, currently in the central Atlantic, will continue to move to the west-northwest over the next several days and is destined to strengthen into the next Major Hurricane of the season. Expectations are that Katia will re-curve well east of the U.S. and possibly threaten Bermuda before weakening as she heads back out over the colder waters of the North Atlantic. The track of Katia is expected to remain steady as a cold front moving through the eastern U.S. this weekend should help to block a westward shift in the storm, but that was also a possibility with Irene who ended up doing her own thing than what was forecast 5 days out. So we need to keep one eye on Katia.
The second disturbance worth watching is currently near Cancun, Mexico. All indications point to a slow strengthening of this system this weekend with a Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm (Lee) forming by Sunday or Monday (9/4-5) somewhere off the Texas Gulf Coast. There is fairly good agreement that this will happen, unfortunately after Monday there is no agreement on where the storm will go. Our best estimate is that it will follow the middle track and move along the Texas Gulf Coast before making landfall somewhere near Houston onWednesday (9/7) or Thursday (9/8). The primary threat from "Lee" would be flooding due to the slow moving nature of the storm. At this point, the track of the storm does not look like it will bring large amounts of rain to central Texas but will instead drench only the coastal areas, so the drought in much of Texas will continue.
Impacts to retailers and consumers are expected to be minimal with increasing chances for rainfall in East Texas hampering store traffic. As long as Katia remains well offshore its impact will also be minimal.
About Weather Trends International
Weather Trends International (WTI) is the global leader of actionable year-ahead business weather guidance for retailers, manufacturers, pharmaceutical companies, agricultural firms, financial analysts and consumers worldwide. The company’s business-to-business clients include some of the world’s most respected and successful companies such as Wal-Mart, Kohl’s, Target, AutoZone, Anheuser-Busch, Johnson & Johnson, Clorox, Energizer, 3M, JP Morgan and Hershey’s. Its business-centric weather solutions and understanding of how consumers respond to the weather is used throughout organizations to help "manage the weather risk.” Utilizing technology first developed in the early 1990s, WTI’s unique, statistical, math-based forecasting methodology projects temperature, precipitation and snowfall trends up to a year ahead for 6.4 million locations in all 195 countries with industry-leading 80%+ accuracy (as verified in an independent audit by Forecast Watch). The company has received 12 business and technology awards and in 2009 was listed #5 on Forbes’ list of America’s Most Promising Companies. WTI is headquartered in Bethlehem, PA with offices in Bentonville, AR. For more information, visit www.wxtrends.com or www.wt360.com.